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From Bean to Basket: How Cocoa Price Shocks Become Chocolate Inflation

Premium Members only: Download our infographic from the CocoaRadar Insights desk to get the complete picture

Download the full infographic as a PDF

When cocoa prices spike—whether due to weather disruptions, geopolitical risks, or market speculation—the ripple effects extend far beyond the farm.

This exclusive CocoaRadar timeline infographic illustrates how a sudden spike in cocoa bean prices, such as the sharp surge in cocoa futures in April 2024 — when, for example, the May-2024 contract on the London market touched ~US$12,567 per tonne — affects all stakeholders.

See how the impact moved through the chocolate value chain into 2025. From early trader panic and processor contract resets to supermarket shrinkflation and shifting consumer behaviour, this map breaks down the typical 12+ month journey from a futures-market jolt to visible inflation in the chocolate aisle.

Understand the timing gaps, pressure points, and tipping moments that transform a commodity shock into a full consumer story.

🌟 Premium Member Benefit:

Premium members can download the full, richly detailed infographic that visualises exactly how a cocoa bean price shock—whether in futures or spot markets—transmits through the chocolate and confectionery value chain and ultimately results in higher retail prices.


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